Tag Archives: business models

What recession?

The global financial crisis hit nearly four years ago in 2008 but America and Europe appear to still be stuck in the mud. Even the Asian market has softened. But is this a recession? Or are we seeing a reconfiguration of the economy as the technological seeds laid over the last few generations finally germinated and bear fruit? Prices for made goods are collapsing as the cost of manufacturing has plummeted, while the cost of sourcing and distribution has crashed, caught between globalisation and the Internet. Even innovation, the source of all those sexy new products, has been democratised with the investment required to development new products taking a nosedive. Our existing business models were not designed to thrive, or even survive, this this environment. While the current market is a challenge to navigate, a lot of the problems we're seeing could be result of a collapse of antiquated business models rather than the collapse in demand that these businesses are intended to service.

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Is Salesforce.com already legacy IT?

The more I think about it, the more I feel that we need to rethink what “application” means.

The IT industry – and therefore “application” – has been defined by businesses’ need to acquire IT assets. The roles companies play in the industry have accreted around this need, as I’ve pointed out before{{1}}.

[[1]]Business models for the old rules of IT @ PEG[[1]]

The big shift we’re seeing in the market at the moment is a move from companies wanting to acquire IT, to a need to engage services enabled by IT. I know, for example, one airline that has externalised flight planning and pays per flight plan, rather than worrying about the tools need to support a team of flight planners. It’s a capability and process centric view, rather than a technology centric view.

If we follow this line of thought through then we quickly realise that the future of IT in business will be determined by the need to knit together a fabric of IT enabled services, many of which will be obtained externally. I don’t need a project portfolio management solution, I need a portfolio management capability backed by the tools and skills required to make it work. I don’t need a CRM solution (SaaS or not), I need a sales management and reporting methodology (Holden? Miller Heiman?) supported by technology to enable it to scale. It’s outside in thinking, rather than inside out.

What will the industry that accretes around this new need look like? If we look at many of the current on-demand / SaaS vendors, then they could best be described as enterprise software, but in the cloud!. Take the old model and make it multi-tennanted. We should probably call this Cloud 1.0 (where MySpace was social media 1.0). Cloud 2.0, however, will be something different and might be just over the horizon, rendering the current incumbents obsolete, legacy while they’re still young.